I know. It seems hard to fathom, but we have reached the final regular season week of the 2023 college football season. It seems like just yesterday that we were previewing the Week 0 games. Of course, a lot has happened since then, and there is still a ton left to decide this coming weekend in terms of conference championship berths, the playoff standings, and who will or won’t be going to bowl games.
Like always at this time of year, some teams have everything to play for, and some are just playing out the string. This greatly impacts the motivation levels of every team and, hence, the betting lines associated with the games. As such, this week presents a lot of opportunity for bettors. I’m here to share some of the top betting systems involving teams playing in their regular season finale games.
CFB Regular Season Finale System #1
Since 2015, home favorites of more than 20 points are 53-6 SU but just 23-36 ATS (39%) in season finale games.
System matches: (FADE ALL ATS) – TENNESSEE (-27 vs. Vanderbilt), UTAH (-22 vs. Colorado).
Steve’s thoughts: Laying big numbers in regular season finales can be difficult, regardless of the perceived difference in strength levels between the teams, as many of the regular season finale games are rivalry contests with enhanced motivation for the underdogs. The favored teams are typically just concentrating on getting wins, as you can see by the outright record.
CFB Regular Season Finale System #2
Since 2015, home underdogs of seven points or more are just 21-106 SU and 52-74-1 ATS (41.3%) in season finale games.
System matches: (FADE ALL ATS) – MISSISSIPPI STATE (+11 vs. Ole Miss), BOSTON COLLEGE (+9 vs. Miami), Akron (+14 vs. Ohio U), CENTRAL MICHIGAN (+10.5 vs. Toledo), NEW MEXICO (+7.5 vs. Utah State), ARKANSAS (+7.5 vs. Missouri), MICHIGAN STATE (+21 vs. Penn State), TEMPLE (+11.5 vs. Memphis), GEORGIA TECH (+24 vs. Georgia), SOUTH CAROLINA (+7 vs. Clemson), KENT STATE (+18.5 vs. Northern Illinois), ARIZONA STATE (+11.5 vs. Arizona), STANFORD (+26 vs. Notre Dame), FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (+10 vs. Western Kentucky), AUBURN (+15 vs. Alabama), BAYLOR (+9 vs. West Virginia), SOUTHERN MISS (+17 vs. Troy), UTEP (+17 vs. Liberty), NEVADA (+11 vs. Wyoming)