Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-23-2023
Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-23-2023

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It’s Thanksgiving Day here in the United States and that brings plenty of familiar things to the table: turkey, family and, of course, football. A pair of NFC East rivals lock up on the gridiron in a traditional Thanksgiving Day rivalry game when the Washington Commanders travel to the Lone Star State to take on the Dallas Cowboys Thursday afternoon. Washington was beaten 31-19 at home by the Giants in their previous contest Sunday, losing outright as a 7.5-point favorite. Dallas rolled to a 33-10 road win over Carolina in their previous game Sunday, covering the line as an 11-point favorite. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Cowboys own a 76-46-2 advantage though it was the Commanders taking a 26-6 win at home in the most recent matchup on January 8, 2023.

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Washington imploded, shooting themselves in the foot time and again, leading to their fourth loss in the last five games as they were beaten by the struggling Giants. The Commanders dropped to 4-7 on the season and sit third in the NFC East, while they stand 12th in the NFC playoff picture. Against the Giants, Washington never led in the game as they trailed 7-3 after the opening quarter, 14-9 at the half and 14-12 after three quarters before getting outscored 17-7 in the final stanza to take the loss. The Commanders held a 403-292 edge in total offense, piled up 28 first downs while allowing 13 and controlled the clock by a 34:51 to 25:09 margin yet lost. Washington missed an extra point, gave up four sacks and turned the ball over six times, leading to 21 Giants points, including a pick-six, while not recording a takeaway in the game.

The Commanders enter week 12 11th in the league in passing offense with 245 yards per game while they are 26th in rushing by averaging 95.7 yards per contest on the ground. Washington is 17th in the league in scoring offense by putting up 21.5 points per game while they are 32nd in the league in scoring defense by allowing an average of 27.7 points per game. Sam Howell is 295 of 442 passing for 3,038 yards with 18 touchdowns and 12 interceptions while ranking second on the team with 209 rushing yards and two scores. He has been sacked a staggering 51 times on the season. Brian Robinson Jr. leads the team with 138 carries for 558 yards and five scores on the ground. Antonio Gibson (30 carries, 137 yards) and Chris Rodriguez Jr. (20 carries, 104 yards) are the secondary backs in the system. Terry McLaurin leads the team with 56 receptions for 644 yards and two scores this season. Curtis Samuel (38 catches, 343 yards, two TD), Logan Thomas (43 grabs, 409 yards, three TD), Jahan Dotson (37 rece ptions, 383 yards, four TD), Robinson Jr. (27 grabs, 314 yards, three TD) and Gibson (30 catches, 269 yards, two TD) are each over 250 receiving yards this season. Joey Slye is 22 of 24 on extra point attempts and 16 of 20 on field goal attempts with a long of 61 this year.

The early injury report for the Commanders had a fair number of names on it. Monday, the team didn’t practice but the Commanders released their report based on an estimate of how much participation each player would have had. Fullback Alex Armah (hamstring), cornerback Emmanuel Forbes Jr. (elbow), linebacker De’Jon Harris (quad) and defensive end James Smith-Williams (hamstring) were estimated as did not practice. Guard Sam Cosmi (chest), running back Antonio Gibson (toe) and defensive back Jartavius Martin (shoulder) were each estimated as limited. Watch for updates heading toward kickoff.

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