I gave out a sweat-free winner yesterday with Gordon Hayward under 23.5 points + rebounds + assists. I’m back for more. Let’s dive into our top NBA player prop bet for the games on Sunday, November 19. You can also read our NBA predictions for each of tonight’s matchups.
Jayson Tatum, BOS, Under 9.5 rebounds (-105)
Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
It’s reached the point where this player prop has reached its ceiling. Jayson Tatum is averaging nine rebound chances per game in the last five contests. Yet, his over/under for rebounds tonight is 9.5. That’s almost enough for me to bet on this prop immediately. Secondly, we’re getting +EV. DraftKings is offering this prop at nearly even money, while Caesars Sportsbook has this listed at -113. Now, we’re banking on the Celtics to have their entire rotation ready for Sunday. Jaylen Brown is questionable, but it’s the likes of Jrue Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis who are hogging the rebounds. They’re both averaging over 14 rebound chances per game in their last five games.
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies could be better, I won’t lie. They play fast and are putrid on the defensive end, but they rank in the middle of the league in rebounds allowed to the power forward position. We’re not banking on a blowout here, but the Celtics are 9.5-point favorites and have a game tomorrow.