After a quiet night with two games on Thursday, it is a packed 11-game In-Season Tournament menu on Friday night, and it's time to find mispriced lines and take advantage. These are my two favorite NBA player prop bets for Friday, November 17, and make sure to check out all of our NBA picks.
Victor Wembanyama (SAS) Over 18.5 Points (-115)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 1u wager.
The NBA Rookie of the Year frontrunner has cleared this line in only four of his 11 games so far and has stayed under in each of his last two, but not all spots are created equal, and tonight, we get a buy-low in a soft matchup. His four lowest-scoring performances came in the four games where San Antonio lost by more than twenty points. Another one of his misses came against the defensive juggernaut Miami Heat. On Friday night, the Spurs will be short-handed in the scoring department with Devin Vassell already ruled out and Keldon Johnson and Tre Jones listed as questionable. Even if Johnson and Jones play, this line is too low.
Wembanyama has played in two games this season with Devin Vassell; in one game, he scored 20, and in the other game, he scored 13 points in just 21 minutes while going 3-12 from the field. His matchup tonight, the Sacramento Kings, are one of the easier spots he'll have this season. Although Sacramento's offensive prowess is scary and the potential for blowout is valid, they also do not have the tools to counter Wembanyama's game. The 19-year-old is a three-level scorer, who has spread out his shot chart this season pretty evenly between at-the-basket (restricted area and paint), mid-range, and above-the-break threes.