Lions vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 10
Lions vs Chargers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 10

The Detroit Lions visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Inglewood.

The Lions are betting favorites in this Week 10 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Lions vs. Chargers Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.

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Lions vs. Chargers Prediction

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 10 game with 65.8% confidence.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread with 62.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Lions and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Lions Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Lions players this Week 10 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 9 games (+9.20 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)

Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)

  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+12.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 41% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have scored first in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 46% ROI)

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions went 6-2 (+3.85 Units / 44% ROI).

  • Lions are 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 21.13% ROI
  • Lions are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Lions are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / ROI

Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers went 4-4 (-0.45 Units / -5.03% ROI).

  • Chargers are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -6.82% ROI
  • Chargers are 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Chargers are 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers

The Lions are 6-2 (.750) this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Lions are undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .633.

The Lions are 1-11-1 (.077) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .221.

The Lions are 2-17 (.105) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .246.

Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Chargers are undefeated (3-0) when allowing an average of less than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .592.

The Chargers are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .702.

The Chargers are winless (0-3) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .129.

The Chargers are winless (0-3) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .292.

Additional Matchup Notes for Detroit Lions vs. Los Angeles Chargers

  
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