The New Orleans Saints visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Minneapolis.
The Saints are betting favorites in this Week 10 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Saints vs. Vikings Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Vikings Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 10 game with 51.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this Week 10 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Rashid Shaheed | 32.5 -115 | 32.5 -115 |
| Alvin Kamara | 35.5 -115 | 35.5 -120 |
| Chris Olave | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
| Michael Thomas | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -115 |
| Juwan Johnson | 23.5 -120 | 23.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 51.5 -115 | 51.5 -120 |
| Derek Carr | 1.5 -110 | 1.5 -120 |
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+5.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.40 Units / 26% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints went 2-6 (-4.5 Units / -45.69% ROI).
- Saints are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -7.17% ROI
- Saints are 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
- Saints are 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings went 5-3 (+1.7 Units / 17.09% ROI).
- Vikings are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 16.67% ROI
- Vikings are 2-7 when betting the Over for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
- Vikings are 7-2 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Saints are 3-1 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .610.
The Saints are 3-2 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .490.
The Saints are 8-3 (.727) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season — 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Saints are 14-3-1 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .650.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Vikings are 1-3 (.250) at home this season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .577.
The Vikings were undefeated (8-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .497.