Free Daily NFL Lock Pick, Monday October 30th: Las Vegas vs Detroit 8:15pmET
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A playoff rematch is hitting Fiserv Forum on Monday night when the Miami Heat (1-2; 1-2-0 ATS) return to the site where they advanced in the first round. As always, the Milwaukee Bucks (1-0; 0-1-0 ATS) will host in their home building. The first meeting between these clubs is scheduled for 8:10 p.m. EDT. The Heat have no issues winning here, while the Bucks should be seeking payback. Who will come out on top of this early-season Eastern Conference matchup?
*Published before Milwaukee's Sunday game
Last season's Miami Heat endured a rocky regular season before winning the Eastern Conference. It's early, but Miami's 16-point loss in Minnesota has left some already pondering if history will repeat itself this season. Monday's mission, which should include Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, and Caleb Marin unlike Saturday's, is to win again. Those three should help an offense that's 28th in effective field goal percentage (47.8%) a lot. Their inefficiencies stem from the heaviest volume of midrange attempts (37.7%) and only hitting 31.7% (28th) of them. The Heat are only shooting 56.8% at the rim (24th). Miami's 38.7% mark from deep is top 10 right now, but their volume is bottom 10. A slow pace also helps them limit turnovers with the best teams league-wide. Shot selection will dictate a lot of things for this year's Heat team, for better or worse.
Now, the defense being mediocre through thr ee games is probably more shocking for this club. They're forcing misses at a decent rate, but one of the NBA's worst defensive rebounding rates is giving opponents multiple opportunities. That has been the greatest difference from last year's team which was incredible at grabbing boards. Of course, it has only been three games, so it isn't a troubling trend yet. Miami isn't getting a ton of blocks either, but there are ways around that. What they're excelling in is keeping foes off the free throw line. It helps that their opponents have only hit 66.7% of their free throws too. Miami's defense hasn't dominated yet, but a stronger presence in the paint will make them formidable moving forward.
Free Daily NFL Lock Pick, Monday October 30th: Las Vegas vs Detroit 8:15pmET CLICK TO SEE PICK NOW