The Miami Heat (1-1) face the Minnesota Timberwolves (0-1) on Saturday, October 28, 2023 at Target Center. It begins at 8:00 PM ET on BSN and BSSUN.
The Timberwolves hit the court as 4.5-point favorites against the Heat. The matchup features an over/under of 218.5.
Timberwolves vs. Heat Betting Odds
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 4:22 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
- Spread: Minnesota -4.5
- Total: 218.5
- Moneyline: Minnesota -188, Miami +159
Heat at Timberwolves odds, spread, & more
- Pick ATS: Heat (+ 4.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (218.5)
- Prediction:
Heat 106 – Timberwolves 98
- Minnesota won 20 of the 37 games it was listed as the moneyline favorite last season (54.1%).
- Minnesota had a record of 13-10 when it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -188 or shorter last year (56.5%).
- Minnesota has a 65.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
- Miami was underdogs in 23 games last season and won seven (30.4%) of those contests.
- Miami had a record of 3-9, a 25% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by +159 or more by bookmakers last season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Miami has a 38.6% chance to win.
- Last year, the Timberwolves scored six more points per game (115.8) than the Heat allowed (109.8).
- Minnesota went 34-23 against the spread and 36-21 overall last season when scoring more than 109.8 points.
- When it scored more than 115.8 points last season, Miami went 13-9 against the spread and 18-4 overall.
- Minnesota’s record was 20-9 against the spread and 22-7 overall when it allowed fewer than 109.5 points last season.
- Last season, the Timberwolves were at the 12th spot in the NBA’s scoring charts (115.8 PPG), while the Heat allowed the second-fewest points per game (109.8) in the league.
- The lowest-scoring NBA team was Miami a season ago (109.5 PPG), while the Minnesota squad was the 18th-ranked defense (115.8 PPG) in the league.
- The Timberwolves had a negative point differential on the season (-3 total points, zero per game), as did the Heat (-26 total points, -0.3 per game).
Over/Under
- Minnesota’s average implied point total last season was 6.2 more points than its implied total in Saturday’s game (118.2 implied points on average compared to 112 implied points in this game).
- Last year, Minnesota scored more than 112 points in 49 games.
- The average implied point total last season for Miami (112.3) is 5.3 more points than the team’s implied total in this matchup (107).
How to watch Timberwolves vs. Heat
- Game Day: Saturday, October 28, 2023
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: BSN and BSSUN
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- TV Channel: Bally Sports
- Live stream: Watch on Fubo!
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