The Tennessee Volunteers (5-2) visit Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (5-2) on Oct. 28 in Lexington.
Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Tennessee vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 62.0% confidence.
Tennessee vs Kentucky Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 53.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Tennessee Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.59 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tennessee have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Tennessee Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Tennessee players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jabari Small has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Bru McCoy has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joe Milton III has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Joe Milton III has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Squirrel White has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Kentucky Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kentucky players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Barion Brown has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Leary has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Ray Davis has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Leary has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Dane Key has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Tennessee is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Tennessee is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.31% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- Tennessee is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kentucky is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Kentucky is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.61% ROI
- Kentucky is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Kentucky is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Tennessee was undefeated (5-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass in the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .631
Tennessee was 9-1 (.818) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .485
Tennessee is 13-2 (.765) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 18th-best in FBS; Average: .568
Tennessee is 18-7 (.643) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 39th-best in FBS; Average: .530
Kentucky is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420
Kentucky is 7-2 (.636) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 28th-best in FBS; Average: .479
Kentucky is 8-2 (.615) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 33rd-best in FBS; Average: .495
Kentucky is 12-8 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .419
Kentucky’s TEs has gained 218 yards on 13 receptions (16.8 YPR) this season — fifth-best among P5 TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 7.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.
Kentucky’s TEs has gained 218 yards on 13 receptions (16.8 YPR) this season — fifth-best among P5 TEs. Tennessee’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — ninth-best among FBS defenses.