The Michigan State Spartans (2-5) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-3) on Oct. 28 in Minneapolis.
Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Michigan State vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 40.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs Minnesota Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 69.4% confidence.
Michigan State vs Minnesota Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Minnesota will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Minnesota, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+4.50 Units / 90% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 away games (+1.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Minnesota Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Minnesota has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Minnesota has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tre Mosley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Maliq Carr has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Christian Fitzpatrick has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Katin Houser has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
Best Minnesota Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Minnesota players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Daniel Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brevyn Spann-Ford has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Athan Kaliakmanis has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Darius Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -3.92% ROI).
- Michigan State is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -37.74% ROI
- Michigan State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Michigan State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Minnesota is 2-5 against the spread this college football season (-3.55 Units / -45.81% ROI).
- Minnesota is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -8.17% ROI
- Minnesota is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Minnesota is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Michigan State is 3-10 (.231) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .401
Michigan State is 14-5 (.667) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 29th-best in FBS; Average: .540
Michigan State is 16-4 (.727) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .522
Michigan State is 11-3 (.688) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– 34th-best in FBS; Average: .569
Minnesota is 10-5 (.667) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .419
Minnesota is 19-5 (.760) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .538
Minnesota is 8-4 (.667) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for 30th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Minnesota is 9-3 (.692) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for 23rd-best in FBS; Average: .507
Minnesota’s QBs has thrown for 923 passing yards in 7 games (just 131.9 YPG) this season — fifth-worst among FBS teams. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 242.4 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Minnesota’s offense has thrown for 923 passing yards in 7 games (just 131.9 YPG) this season — fifth-worst among FBS offenses. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 242.4 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.