The Iowa State Cyclones (4-3) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (3-4) on Oct. 28 in Waco.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Iowa St. vs. Baylor Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
Bet now on Baylor vs Iowa St. & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Iowa St. vs Baylor Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 52.7% confidence.
Iowa St. vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Baylor will cover the spread with 72.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa St. and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Baylor vs Iowa St. and all games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Iowa St. Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Iowa St. Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa St. players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hunter Dekkers has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.45 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 away games (+2.65 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Cartevious Norton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Craig Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Monaray Baldwin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Sawyer Robertson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Sawyer Robertson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Iowa St. Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- Iowa St. is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 24.48% ROI
- Iowa St. is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Iowa St. is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI).
- Baylor is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.25 Units / -83.57% ROI
- Baylor is 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Baylor is 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Iowa State was winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Iowa State was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Iowa State is 1-13 (.062) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .295
Iowa State is 1-14 (.062) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .337
Baylor is 10-6 (.625) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .494
Baylor is 16-7 (.552) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433
Baylor is 16-4 (.696) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .569
Baylor is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– 30th-best in FBS; Average: .553
Baylor has gained 1,993 yards on 149 receptions (13.4 YPR) this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS skill players. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor’s WRs has gained 1,382 yards on 86 receptions (16.1 YPR) this season — tied for 16th-best among FBS WRs. Iowa State’s defense has allowed just 10.7 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.