The Indiana Hoosiers (2-5) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (6-1) on Oct. 28 in University Park.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -32.5 (-110).
The Indiana vs. Penn State Over/Under is 45.5 total points.
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Indiana vs Penn State Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Indiana vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Indiana will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Indiana and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 4 away games (+0.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 69% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Best Indiana Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jaylin Lucas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylin Lucas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- DeQuece Carter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- KeAndre Lambert-Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.30 Units / 94% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana is 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Indiana is 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -26.2% ROI
- Indiana is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Indiana is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 6-1 against the spread this college football season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).
- Penn State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.93% ROI
- Penn State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Penn State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Indiana is 2-17 (.105) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .496
Indiana is 1-4 (.200) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .694
Indiana is 1-16 (.050) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .378
Indiana is 1-16 (.050) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst in FBS; Average: .414
Penn State was 11-1 (.917) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .513
Penn State was 9-1 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .426
Penn State is 13-1 (.867) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .539
Penn State is 21-4 (.750) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .493
Penn State’s TEs has 34 receptions in 7 games (4.9 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 15.9 receptions per game this season — tied for third-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State’s WRs have just 140.3 receiving yards per game this season — 34th-worst among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 130.0 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 17th-best among FBS defenses.