The NBA is officially back with a rematch of the Western Conference Finals featuring the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Lakers, and we have you covered with our NBA best bets for Tuesday based on the best NBA odds.
It's opening night in the NBA on Tuesday, and that means our NBA best bets are officially back! We're here to bet on hundreds of NBA player props all the way through June and win units. Let me repeat that again: We're here to win units. Nothing else matters to me. If we have to do it with Ben Simmons Overs, we will.
We get our first look at the Phoenix Suns' Big 3 on Tuesday, and one of our player prop picks highlights a potential assists props edge.
Here are our NBA best bets for Tuesday (odds via our
best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Tuesday's NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via FanDuel)
- Los Angeles Lakers (+168) vs. Denver Nuggets (-200)
- Phoenix Suns (-104) vs. Golden State Warriors (-112)
Tuesday's NBA best bets
- LeBron James Under 24.5 points vs. Nuggets (-115 via FanDuel) ????
- Bradley Beal Over 4.5 assists vs. Warriors (+110 via bet365) ???
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Tuesday's NBA player prop picks
I wasn't planning to go full fun police on opening night in the NBA, but I also wasn't expecting FanDuel to be so off-market with its points prop for James.
FanDuel is trading James' total at 24.5 points, with the Under priced at -115. Most of our other best sports betting apps are setting James' total at 22.5 or 23.5, with even more juice on the Under than the -115 we're seeing at FanDuel.
James struggled to produce at this level during the Western Conference Finals when he was playing 40 minutes per night against the Nuggets, and he won't get that much time on Tuesday. Aaron Gordon's size and athleticism were consistently a problem for James during that series, and the Nuggets also sent a lot of help with a clear intention to make the veteran a passer.
James is projected to notch 23.2 points on Tuesday against the Nuggets, which means we can price the Under on 2 4.5 points at -149. This bet is showing a positive expected value of 12%, and it's directly related to the rogue price being offered at FanDuel. That extra one point makes a world of difference in your expected value, especially when you're not even paying any more in juice.
Bradley Beal will make his Suns debut on Tuesday night. He won't get the ball as much as when the guard was with the Washington Wizards, but this total has accounted for that likelihood. Beal was trading with an assists total of 5.5 or 6.5 for most of 2022-23. He was definitely not being offered at 4.5 with the Over at plus money.
We typically see lots of passing during the first couple of games when superstar players come together. Everyone is trying to feel out their role, and they don't want to come across as a ball hog.
Beal will get some opportunity to be the primary ball-handler. But even if he finds himself in the corner while Devin Booker and Kevin Durant run pick-and-rolls, Beal won't be just a shooter. He could attack the rim off of their action, which would help him generate dump-offs for teammates and easy assists.
The three-time All-Star is projected to post 4.9 assists against the Warriors on Tuesday. That means we can price the Over on 4.5 assists at -113, but it's available through bet365 at +110. Make sure you end your shopping at bet365 to maximize the edge with this bet. Several of our best sportsbooks have moved Beal into minus money for the Over on 4.5 assists.
NBA best bets made 10/23/2023 at 8:30 a.m. ET
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