The Cleveland Browns (3-2) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (3-3) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.
The Browns are betting favorites in this Week 7 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Browns vs. Colts Over/Under is 39 total points for the game.
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Browns vs. Colts Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Browns will win this Week 7 game with 58.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Browns and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Browns Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Browns players this Week 7 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nick Chubb has hit the Longest Rush Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Donovan Peoples-Jones has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Amari Cooper has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Chubb has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have scored first in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.70 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns went 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Browns are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 51.59% ROI
- Browns are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI
- Browns are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts went 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Colts are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 35.83% ROI
- Colts are 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Colts are 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Browns are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Browns are 2-1 (.667) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Browns are winless (0-3) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Browns are 1-6 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Colts are winless (0-3) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Colts are winless (0-9) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .125.
The Colts are 1-11-1 (.077) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.
The Colts are winless (0-3) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.