The Minnesota Vikings (1-4) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-4) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago.
The Vikings are betting favorites in this Week 6 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Vikings vs. Bears Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Bears Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Vikings will win this Week 6 game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Vikings and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this Week 6 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.95 Units / 105% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have scored last in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings went 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).
- Vikings are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -57.53% ROI
- Vikings are 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Vikings are 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears went 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI).
- Bears are 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -40% ROI
- Bears are 5-0 when betting the Over for +5 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bears are 0-5 when betting the Under for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Vikings are 7-1 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed an average of 145.2 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.
The Vikings were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Vikings are 7-0 (1.000) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL. The Bears has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 55 s since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-highest in NFL.
The Vikings are 1-4 (.200) this season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Bears are winless (0-10) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .490.
The Bears are 7-9 (.438) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .776.
The Bears are winless (0-17) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .366.
The Bears are 2-19 (.095) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.