The Dallas Cowboys (3-2) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) on Oct. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Inglewood.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this Week 6 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Chargers Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Chargers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 6 game with 65.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this Week 6 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+2.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 3-2 (+0.75 Units / 13.16% ROI).
- Cowboys are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -26.58% ROI
- Cowboys are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Cowboys are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers went 2-2 (-0.3 Units / -6.67% ROI).
- Chargers are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -14.89% ROI
- Chargers are 2-2 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chargers are 2-2 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Cowboys are undefeated (3-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Cowboys are 9-2 (.818) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Cowboys are 9-1 (.900) after a loss since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .467.
The Cowboys are 19-1 (.950) when leading at the end of first quarter since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .661.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Chargers are winless (0-3) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .285.
The Chargers are 6-12 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .211.
The Chargers are undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 22 points since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .733.