The New Orleans Saints (3-2) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (2-3) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Houston.
The Saints are betting favorites in this Week 6 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Saints vs. Texans Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Texans Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 6 game with 58.7% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this Week 6 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Rush Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+4.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have scored first in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have scored last in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints went 1-3 (-2.2 Units / -40.37% ROI).
- Saints are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -5.19% ROI
- Saints are 0-5 when betting the Over for -5.5 Units / -100% ROI
- Saints are 5-0 when betting the Under for +5 Units / ROI
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.29% ROI).
- Texans are 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.1 Units / 21.15% ROI
- Texans are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Texans are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Saints are 3-2 (.600) this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Saints are 1-3-1 (.200) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
The Saints are winless (0-8) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .228.
The Saints are 12-2-1 (.800) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2021 season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .671.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Texans are winless (0-14) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .490.
The Texans are 3-16 (.158) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .431.
The Texans are winless (0-3) after a home win since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .509.
The Texans are winless (0-12) vs top 10 defenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .441.