Which teams have a shot at winning the Super Bowl?
It has been fun and rewarding watching the NFL for the past five weeks. Being on the side of the public in bets has proved profitable. Going into last weekend, the public — which constitutes any team that receives 51% of the bets or higher — is 33-24-3 ATS. This is the third-most profitable four-week start for the public in the last 20 years (2020 and 2009). When the public wins, everyone is happy. Let’s hope the trend continues.
Through five weeks, we have learned a great deal about some of the teams. We know some teams have no chance of winning the Super Bowl, some have a slight chance to make the playoffs, and some are for real. Borrowing a line from the great Phil Leotardo of Sopranos’ fame, “Let me tell you a couple of three things.”
The First: For all the talk about the AFC being loaded with great teams and great quarterbacking, that hasn’t been the case. Who is the best team in the AFC? Before flying to London, the easy answer was Buffalo. But losing star linebacker Matt Milano and defensive tackle DaQuan Jones to potentially season-ending injuries, I am not sure the Bills are still the best.
The Bills seemed tired and sluggish in their game last week against the Jags, taking time to get their offense in gear. That’s not what concerns me. When they lost Milano and Jones, their defense didn’t have the same explosive movement and ability to make plays on key downs.