Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 10-11-2023
Sam Houston State vs. New Mexico State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 10-11-2023

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The Sam Houston State Bearkats will play the New Mexico State Aggies on Wednesday at Aggie Memorial Stadium in a battle between Conference USA foes. Kickoff is at 7:00 p.m. MT.

Sam Houston (0-5 SU and 3-1-1 ATS) lost 21-16 to Liberty last week and New Mexico State (3-3 SU and 3-2-1 ATS) beat Florida International 34-17 in its last game. The Bearkats are 0-2 in conference play and the Aggies are 1-1.

NMSU is a six-point spread favorite and the game total is 43.5 points.

Bearkats: RB Charles Crawford III and RB Zach Hrbacek are questionable to play.

Aggies: No injuries to report.

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Sam Houston is still searching for its first win of the season. It has come close, losing in overtime to Jacksonville State two weeks ago and by only five to Liberty last week. Will it get over the hump on Wednesday night?

The Flames piled up nearly 450 yards of total offense against the Bearkats, including 191 rushing yards on 43 carries (4.4 YPC) and 13.5 yards per passing completion. The Bearkats were held to just 72 rushing yards on 22 carries (3.3 YPC) and 6.1 yards per passing completion.

Senior quarterback Keegan Shoemaker leads the Sam Houston State offensive attack with 731 passing yards, four touchdowns, and five interceptions. His top receiving threat is junior wide receiver Noah Smith (30 receptions for 253 yards and one TD). Sophomore running back John Gentry paces the Bearkats' ground game (49 carries for 141 yards).

The Sam Houston offense scores 10.8 points per game (133rd) and averages 241.2 total yards (133rd), including 174.2 passing yards (117th) and 67.0 rushing yards (131st). The Bearkats convert 25.6 percent of their third downs (131st) and score on 75.0 percent of their red zone visits (96th).

The SHSU defense surrenders 24.2 points (64th) and 379.0 total yards (77th) per game, including 193.0 passing yards (29th) and 186.0 rushing yards (117th). The Bearkats have registered five sacks and two interceptions this season. Their opponents have converted 39.1 percent of their third downs (69th) and 84.6 percent of their red zone trips into scores (76th).

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