The Pickswise handicappers continue to crush it this NFL season and there’s no reason to think that Week 5 will be any different. Our experts are currently 14-8 with their 3-star'NFL best bets this season for +10.5 units of profit. On top of that, we have a 39-23-3 record against the spread for every game this season, which equates to +26.1 units of profit if you bet on every game at our recommended stakes! With such red -hot handicappers, we’ve asked 4 of our sharpest experts which of their'NFL Week 5 picks is their best bet, and they’ve obliged. That’s 4 best bets, all in one place! Let’s dive in.
Andrew Ortenberg: Falcons -1.5 over Texans (-110)
We've got an interesting matchup here between the Atlanta Falcons and Houston Texans. I've bet the Texans a couple of times this year and it's worked out nicely, but this week I'm fading them. Now is the perfect time to sell high on Houston and buy low on the Falcons. Everyone is selling Atlanta following the ugly loss to the Jags in London last week, and they're at the absolute bottom of their market. Jacksonville spanked them in Week 4, but the Jags had a big advantage there since they play in London every year (and twice this year!), so I wouldn't draw too many conclusions from that performance. Any game played overseas is naturally going to have higher variance and wackier outcomes.
Falcons QB Desmond Ridder has been a big disappointment this season, but that shouldn't matter as much against a highly mediocre Texans rush defense that is allowing 4.4 yards per carry. Bijan Robinson should be able to get cooking again, which is all this Falcons offense needs. Atlanta has quietly been much improved this season, and even in the loss to Jacksonville they held Trevor Lawrence to just 207 yards and Travis Etienne to 55 yards on 20 carries. I've been impressed with Texans QB CJ Stroud, but Houston's big win last week had more to do with Pittsburgh's current incompetence than anything they did well. It's understandable that people are excited about the Texans after back-to-back wins, but right before this mini win streak they got crushed by Anthony Richardson and the Colts in a game where they gave up 31 points.
Be sure to check out our full Houston Texans vs Atlanta Falcons predictions