We have scoured the markets to comprise our college football best bets for Saturday of Week 6 based on the best NCAAF odds, as 22 college football teams enter Week 6 with undefeated records.
Two of the 22 undefeated FBS teams will fall as early as the noon ET games end on Saturday.
The day starts with a bang with the Red River Showdown between No. 12 Oklahoma and No. 3 Texas, with 5-0 Maryland looking to continue its unbeaten season with a road upset of No. 4 Ohio State. Arguably, the biggest game of the day is one that will go a long way in determining the SEC West champion, as Alabama and Texas A&M battle to move to 3-0 in the conference.
To help with your college football predictions for Week 6, here are our college football best bets for Saturday of Week 6, and don't miss our SEC best bets for Week 6 (odds via our best college football betti ng sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Week 6 college football schedule and odds for Saturday
(Odds via Caesars)
- Oklahoma vs. Texas (-6.5)
- Maryland vs. Ohio State (-20)
- LSU (-5.5) vs. Missouri
- Alabama (-1.5) vs. Texas A&M
- Kentucky vs. Georgia (-14.5)
- Notre Dame (-6.5) vs. Louisville
- Washington State vs. UCLA (-3.5)
College football best bets for Saturday: Week 6
- Jonathan Brooks (Texas) Under 98.5 rushing yards vs. Oklahoma (-115 via DraftKings, bet365) ????
- Brock Bowers (Georgia) Over 68.5 receiving yards vs. Kentucky (-115 via bet365) ????
- Kyle McCord Over 2.5 passing touchdowns vs. Maryland (+150 via bet365) ???
- Louisville +6.5 vs. Notre Dame (-110 via Caesars, FanDuel, BetMGM) ????
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College football predictions
Jonathan Brooks ranks third in the country in rushing (597 yards), and his 6.9 yards per carry average leads all Big 12 running backs (min. 50 attempts). But while he rushed for 106-plus yards in each of his last three games, we expect the Oklahoma defense to provide Brooks his stiffest test since he was held to 57 yards against Alabama.
This is a four-star play, as Oklahoma has one of the most stout front sevens in the country and ranks in the top three in Stuff Rate and Defensive Line Yards, as well as the top 10 in EPA/Rush. No player has run for more than 76 yards against the Sooners this season, and the leading ball carrier has averaged 56.3 yards against them over the last four games.
Under backers have their cho ice between DraftKings and bet365 for the best value, as FanDuel differs widely in this market with an O/U of 89.5.
Our Phil Wood takes a deeper dive into this matchup with his Oklahoma-Texas predictions.
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Before this week's meeting with Georgia, Wildcats head coach Mark Stoops described Bulldogs tight end Brock Bowers as “an absolute freak.” The numbers back that up, as Bowers leads all tight ends in receptions (30), receiving yards (413), and missed tackles forced (13), per NFL Rookie Watch.
Bowers' impact is felt much more than just this season, as he has earned PFF's highest receiving grade ever for a Power Five tight end (since its inception in 2014) and leads in yards, touchdowns, and receiving yards after contact in that span.
Bowers ba iled out the Georgia offense in the fourth quarter on the road last week at Auburn with a game-winning 40-yard touchdown catch with under three minutes to play, and we expect quarterback Carson Beck to look his way often this week.
The best number for this prop is at bet365, as DraftKings is slightly higher at 69.5 (-115 to back the Over), while FanDuel differs the most with an O/U of 76.5.
A big game from Bowers aligns with my stance on the spread in my Kentucky-Georgia prediction.
Buckeyes quarterback Kyle McCord had lofty expectations given the coach and the system he plays for, and was already being compared to the likes of C.J. Stroud, Dwayne Haskins, Justin Fields, and others that came before him even before he played a snap.
While the Buckeyes offense may not look as explosive as it has in recent years, with all five starting quarterbacks finishing the season in the top five of F BS quarterbacks in QBR, McCord has the same 65% completion percentage through his first four career games as Stroud did (and now Stroud is the favorite to be the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year).
McCord totaled 167 passing yards and averaged 10.7 yards per completion, with one pass play of 20-plus yards in his first seven drives against Notre Dame. However, on the final drive, McCord had two 20-yard completions and averaged 14.6 yards per completion while throwing for 73 yards.
As pedestrian as the offense looked against Notre Dame, McCord still ranks sixth among all FBS quarterbacks with an 87.7 Total QBR and leads an offense ranked sixth in SP+ entering Week 6. He has thrown three touchdown passes in two of four games, and that has us excited to back the Over of 2.5 at plus-money odds.
DraftKings and FanDuel align with McCord's O/U of 2.5 passing touchdowns but offer less return at +125 and +134 to back the Over, respectively.
My Maryland-Ohio State predictions call for a high-scoring game.
Notre Dame's dominance over ACC opponents has been well-documented, as it has rattled off 30 consecutive regular-season victories over ACC foes, with its last loss coming against then-No. 7 Miami in 2017. However, Louisville is 5-0 for the first time since 2013. It is being slightly undervalued in this matchup, given it had to rally from a double-digit deficit (the second time this season it has done so) to beat an NC State team that the Fighting Irish walloped by 21 points.
We are taking the bait with this spread of less than a touchdown, as the Fighting Irish should not have much left in the tank after being on opposite sides of two games (against Ohio State and Duke) that were hotly contested and came down to the final play. That emotional toll will be difficult for Notre Dame to overcome, especially knowing it has a h ome date with No. 9 USC looming next week. The Cardinals rank eighth in the country in Opponent-Adjusted Passing Offense per play, and we like the contrarian nature of this pick, as Notre Dame covered the spread in its last nine games dating back to 2018 as more than a one-point favorite against ranked teams.
Caesars, FanDuel, and BetMGM are the three shops where one can back Louisville at +6.5, as all of our other best sports betting apps are lower at +6.
Brenden Schaeffer explore this matchup with his Notre Dame-Louisville predictions.
College football best bets made 10/6/2023 at 6:06 a.m. ET.
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