The Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-3) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (2-3) on Oct. 7 in Waco.
Texas Tech is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Texas Tech vs. Baylor Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas Tech will win this game with 51.0% confidence.
Texas Tech vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas Tech will cover the spread with 62.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Texas Tech Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Craig Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jerand Bradley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Tyler Shough has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Sawyer Robertson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Sawyer Robertson has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas Tech is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- Texas Tech is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -64.1% ROI
- Texas Tech is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Texas Tech is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.3 Units / -41.82% ROI).
- Baylor is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.4 Units / -89.09% ROI
- Baylor is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Baylor is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Texas Tech is 6-1 (.750) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .433
Texas Tech is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2022 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465
Texas Tech was undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .473
Texas Tech is 6-4 (.545) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 37th-best in FBS; Average: .439
Baylor is 14-7 (.538) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373
Baylor is 18-7 (.643) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 26th-best in FBS; Average: .489
Baylor is 15-9 (.577) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 31st-best in FBS; Average: .442
Baylor is 4-1 (.571) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .439
Baylor’s WRs has gained 3,056 yards on 194 receptions (15.8 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for ninth-best among FBS WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Baylor has gained 1,353 yards on 102 receptions (13.3 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big 12 skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception this season — best among Big 12 defenses.