Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Alabama Crimson Tide (4-1) visit Kyle Field to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (4-1) on Oct. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in College Station.

Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 54.3% confidence.

Alabama vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 75.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)

  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+5.20 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Alabama Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Alabama players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jermaine Burton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Isaiah Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jase McClellan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jalen Milroe has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jalen Milroe has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 95% ROI)

Best Texas A&M Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas A&M players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Stewart has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Amari Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Conner Weigman has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Conner Weigman has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ainias Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Alabama is 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Alabama is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • Alabama is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Alabama is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Texas A&M Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas A&M is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Texas A&M is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 0.32% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Texas A&M is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Alabama is 16-4 (.762) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .421

Alabama is 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .528

Alabama is 10-1 (.909) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Alabama is 23-4 (.821) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .591

Texas A&M is 1-6 (.091) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .333

Texas A&M is 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438

Texas A&M is 13-5 (.722) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for 30th-best in FBS; Average: .559

Texas A&M is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438

Texas A&M’s offense has thrown for 1,415 passing yards in 5 games (283.0 YPG) this season — 30th-best among FBS offenses. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 184.2 passing yards per game this season — tied for 24th-best among FBS defenses.

Texas A&M’s WRs has gained 1,063 yards on 80 receptions (just 13.3 YPR) this season — fifth-worst among SEC WRs. Alabama’s defense has allowed just 9.5 Yards Per Reception this season — 10th-best among FBS defenses.

  
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