Arkansas vs Mississippi Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Arkansas vs Mississippi Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) visit Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) on Oct. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Oxford.

Mississippi is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Arkansas vs. Mississippi Over/Under is 63.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs Mississippi Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this game with 78.8% confidence.

Arkansas vs Mississippi Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 52.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Mississippi, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+6.20 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)

  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ole Miss have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Ole Miss has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Best Arkansas Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Arkansas players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • KJ Jefferson has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
  • KJ Jefferson has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 away games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Isaac TeSlaa has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Andrew Armstrong has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • KJ Jefferson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Mississippi Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Mississippi players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Jaxson Dart has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Quinshon Judkins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Dayton Wade has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Quinshon Judkins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Arkansas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arkansas is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • Arkansas is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Arkansas is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • Arkansas is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Mississippi Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Mississippi is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 53.21% ROI).

  • Mississippi is 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 15.55% ROI
  • Mississippi is 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • Mississippi is 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

Arkansas is winless (0-6) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .332

Arkansas is 7-8 (.389) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 35th-worst in FBS; Average: .516

Arkansas is winless (0-5) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .275

Arkansas was winless (0-3) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .352

Ole Miss is 10-3 (.714) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 21st-best in FBS; Average: .538

Ole Miss is 14-4 (.583) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Ole Miss is 16-4 (.696) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– tied for 25th-best in FBS; Average: .545

Ole Miss is 14-5 (.700) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 16th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Ole Miss’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.8% of 549 attempts since the 2022 season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Arkansas’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.6% of attempts since the 2022 season — third-best among FBS defenses.

Ole Miss’s QBs has thrown for 4,790 passing yards in 18 games (266.1 YPG) since the 2022 season — 26th-best among FBS teams. Arkansas’s defense has allowed 275.5 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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