The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (4-1) visit Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-4) on Oct. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Murfreesboro.
Middle Tenn State is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tenn State Over/Under is 52 total points.
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Jacksonville State vs Middle Tenn State Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this game with 62.1% confidence.
Jacksonville State vs Middle Tenn State Spread Prediction for Week 6
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Jacksonville State and Middle Tenn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Jacksonville State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Jacksonville State is 3-1 against the spread this college football season (+1.9 Units / 34.55% ROI).
- Jacksonville State is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.05 Units / 19.55% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI
- Jacksonville State is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Middle Tenn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).
- Middle Tenn State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -100% ROI
- Middle Tenn State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Middle Tenn State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Jacksonville State is winless (0-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .497
Jacksonville State is winless (0-1) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .395
Jacksonville State was winless (0-1) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Jacksonville State is winless (0-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Middle Tennessee is 1-11 (.077) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: .362
Middle Tennessee is 8-7 (.444) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .346
Middle Tennessee is 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 21st-worst in FBS; Average: .448
Middle Tennessee is 3-10 (.214) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 12th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .403
Middle Tennessee’s WRs has 112 receptions in 5 games (22.4 per game) this season — tied for third-best among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed just 10.6 receptions per game to WRs this season — tied for 27th-best among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s WRs has been targeted 565 times since the 2022 season — fourth-most among FBS WRs. Jacksonville State’s defense has allowed 1,444 receiving yards since the 2022 season — second-fewest among FBS defenses.