There are some Week 1 longshot bets worth considering, although everyone who bets on the NFL has their risk tolerance. Some bettors chip away relentlessly at whatever edges they can find, no matter how small the win is. Others don’t have an interest in anything outside of Hail Mary parlays, where they can take tenfold their bets. With that considered, I am selecting three moneyline underdogs I like this week. I’ve measured them as small, medium, and large long shots.
In Week 1 last year, the underdogs went 9-7. The early season underdogs can be great bets because of how difficult it can be to project based on how the off-season changes are perceived and how much relies on past results that may not have much of an impact on the future when determining the odds.
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- Dallas Cowboys (vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers) (+106)
- Minnesota Vikings (vs. Green Bay Packers) (+108)
- LA Rams (vs. Buffalo Bills) (+116)
- Cleveland Browns (@Carolina Panthers) (+118)
- New England Patriots (@ Miami Dolphins) (+132)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (at Washington Commanders) (+138)
- Las Vegas Raiders (@ LA Chargers) (+154)
- Detroit Lions (vs. Philadelphia Eagles) (+166)
- Arizona Cardinals (vs. Kansas City Chiefs) (+166)
- Atlanta Falcons (vs. New Orleans Saints) (+190)
- New York Giants (@ Tennessee Titans) (+198)
- Seattle Seahawks (vs. Denver Broncos) (+210)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (@ Cincinnati Bengals) (+220)
- New York Jets (vs. Baltimore Ravens) (+235)
- Chicago Bears (vs. San Francisco 49ers) (+250)
- Houston Texans (vs. Indianapolis Colts) (+320)
The Jacksonville Jaguars will head to FedEx field to face the Washington Commanders for Week 1.