The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-250) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Nationals vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 69-88 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 93-63 ATS.
Nationals vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 83.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 21 away games (+18.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+12.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jordan Westburg | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jordan Westburg | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Bradish | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Josiah Gray | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 139 games (+22.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 76 away games (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.83 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 away games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 153 games (+35.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 143 games (+26.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 72 games (+9.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 85 games (+8.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 74 games (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 82-75 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.52% ROI).
- 69-88 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 10.85% ROI
- 75-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 74-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -4.57% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 93-63 against the Run Line (+25.15 Units / 12.4% ROI).
- 97-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +34.75 Units / 17.18% ROI
- 79-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.48% ROI
- 65-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.15 Units / -12.83% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene threw 482 fastballs at 100+ MPH in 2022 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .457 (21-for-46) against Hunter Greene on low fastballs in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray has an average spin rate of 1960.3 RPM on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2399.4 — first Percentile.
28 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has walked 4 of 127 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (366/634) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 27% (113/427) against Kyle Bradish this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.