Let’s take a look at some No Runs First Inning prop bet odds and picks for today’s game: Rangers vs. Astros.
Martin Perez has been one of the best stories in all of baseball this season. The Rangers left-hander has a sub-3.00 ERA for the first time in his career and is only under four for the second time ever going all the pack to 2013 when he last did that. He has been limiting the long ball and 0.248 wOBA in his first time through the order. The Astros offense is very right-handed heavy early in the lineup and has previously succeeded against Perez earlier in the season. I believe that Perez can limit the damage enough early to keep the Astros off the board.
On the other side, we have a pitcher making his first career start in Hunter Brown. In 100 innings in AAA this season, he has a K/9 over 11, and despite a slightly elevated walk rate, he has been able to limit the damage by not allowing homers. He has a GB% over 50% and seems like he has the makings of yet another above-average Astros starter. While the Texas lineup has been better lately, I will take a chance that they struggle the first time through the order against a pitcher they have never seen before.