The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Diamondbacks are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Diamondbacks vs Yankees Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 81-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 74-79 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 57.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+13.25 Units / 52% ROI)
• Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 away games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Anthony Volpe has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+11.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.00 Units / 69% ROI)
• Oswald Peraza has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 73 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+11.13 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.29 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 83 of their last 150 games (+7.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Yankees Best Bets Today:

• The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.00 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+4.83 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 78 games at home (+3.85 Units / 3% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 84-69 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 3.05% ROI).

• 81-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.85 Units / 4.15% ROI
• 67-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.6 Units / -12.01% ROI
• 78-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.9 Units / 3.57% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 74-79 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -4.86% ROI).

• 77-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -5.72% ROI
• 69-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -9.74% ROI
• 78-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 1.21% ROI

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (31/53) against Brandon Pfaadt on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.2 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 22.1.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (36/127) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (85/269) against Brandon Pfaadt this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (91/515) versus Chris Bassitt in 2022 — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 26% (190/745) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — fourth Percentile.

  
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