College football expert betting picks for Week 4
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Florida State (-2.5; 55) at Clemson
Clemson was favored in the Games of the Year lines over the summer, but Florida State's impressive second half in a victory over LSU and Clemson's ineptitude in the red zone in its loss to an underrated Duke team has now flipped the favorites.
Keep in mind that Florida State nearly lost last week as four-touchdown favorites at Boston College, who lost outright to Northern Illinois and barely held on by three over FCS Holy Cross.
Aside from Duke probably being underrated in general, Clemson was debuting a new offensive scheme with a new offensive coordinator (Garrett Riley who came in from TCU) on the road against a Duke defensive staff, led by head coach Mike Elko, that is excellent.
Cade Klubnik, albeit versus lower competition, seems to be getting in a groove with the new offense and he gets to face a secondary who has allowed 305 and 347 in 2 games vs. Power Five teams (LSU and Boston College).
The last time Clemson was a home dog was in 2016 when the Tigers were +2 and beat Louisville 42-36. Clemson has won the last 7 meetings and covered 5
straight vs FSU.