The Western Michigan Broncos (1-2) visit The Glass Bowl to take on the Toledo Rockets (2-1) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Toledo.
Toledo is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -20.5 (-115).
The Western Michigan vs. Toledo Over/Under is 54.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 92.4% confidence.
Western Michigan vs Toledo Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 56.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Michigan and Toledo, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Western Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 1 of their last 6 away games (+2.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Toledo Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Toledo has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- Toledo has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Best Toledo Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Toledo players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerjuan Newton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Maddox has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Peny Boone has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dequan Finn has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dequan Finn has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Michigan is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -12.82% ROI
- Western Michigan is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Western Michigan is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Toledo Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Toledo is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Toledo is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Toledo is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Toledo is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Western Michigan is winless (0-3) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .458
Western Michigan is undefeated (5-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .496
Western Michigan is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 25th-worst in FBS; Average: .429
Western Michigan is 6-14 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 38th-worst in FBS; Average: .379