The Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2) visit Valley Children’s Stadium to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (3-0) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Fresno.
Fresno State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -27.5 (-110).
The Kent State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Kent State vs Fresno State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Kent State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kent State will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Fresno State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Kent State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kent State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 away games (+2.75 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kent State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.43 Units / 43% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.79 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Kent State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kent State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Alaimo has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Gavin Garcia has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Michael Alaimo has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mikey Keene has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.30 Units / 130% ROI)
- Malik Sherrod has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Mikey Keene has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Erik Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kent State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Kent State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kent State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno State is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Fresno State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 98.08% ROI
- Fresno State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Fresno State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Kent State is winless (0-1) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .144
Kent State is winless (0-1) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .121
Kent State is 5-11 (.312) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497
Kent State is 1-6 (.143) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-worst in FBS; Average: .390
Fresno State is 10-1 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .345
Fresno State is 13-2 (.812) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .440
Fresno State is 18-2 (.783) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .509
Fresno State is 17-5 (.680) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .485
Fresno State’s QBs has thrown for 959 passing yards in 3 games (319.7 YPG) this season — 20th-best among FBS teams. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 179.0 passing yards per game this season — 20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State have 291.7 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense has allowed just 173.3 receiving yards per game this season — 26th-best among FBS defenses.