The Iowa Hawkeyes (3-0) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in University Park.
Penn State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Iowa vs. Penn State Over/Under is 40 total points.
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Iowa vs Penn State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 84.4% confidence.
Iowa vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+5.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+10.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Iowa Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.15 Units / 78% ROI)
- Leshon Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Luke Lachey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Diante Vines has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Drew Allar has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Kaytron Allen has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Iowa is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 3.63% ROI
- Iowa is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Iowa is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Penn State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 10.47% ROI
- Penn State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Penn State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
#24 Iowa is undefeated (14-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .615
#24 Iowa was winless (0-4) when throwing at least 1 interception in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .296
#24 Iowa is 6-2 (.750) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .485
#24 Iowa is 16-5 (.727) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .488
#7 Penn State is 7-1 (.875) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .412
#7 Penn State was 8-1 (.889) when passing for more than 200 yards in the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .485
#7 Penn State is 13-1 (.867) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .484
#7 Penn State is 9-1 (.692) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .389
Penn State’s TEs has gained 127 yards on 14 receptions (just 9.1 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten TEs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-best among P5 defenses.
Penn State’s WRs have 186.0 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Iowa’s defense has allowed just 179.3 receiving yards per game this season — 33rd-best among FBS defenses.