The Nevada Wolf Pack (0-3) visit Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium to take on the Texas State Bobcats (2-1) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in San Marcos.
Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-105).
The Nevada vs. Texas State Over/Under is 59.5 total points.
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Nevada vs Texas State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas State will win this game with 89.6% confidence.
Nevada vs Texas State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Nevada and Texas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 34% ROI)
Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+16.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+5.65 Units / 57% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Nevada is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- Nevada is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Nevada is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Texas State is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +14 Units / 127.27% ROI
- Texas State is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Texas State is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Nevada is winless (0-8) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .341
Nevada is 3-8 (.273) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .449
Nevada is 4-6 (.364) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 38th-worst in FBS; Average: .514
Nevada is winless (0-4) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .194
Texas State is 2-11 (.154) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 6th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .496
Texas State is winless (0-7) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .415
Texas State is 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .393
Texas State is winless (0-7) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .389
Texas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 20.0% of 85 attempts this season — tied for sixth-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 24.4% of attempts this season — best among NonP5 defenses.
Texas State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 20.0% of 85 attempts this season — tied for sixth-best among FBS offenses. Nevada’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 24.4% of attempts this season — best among FBS defenses.