The Ohio Bobcats (3-1) visit Doyt L. Perry Stadium to take on the Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Bowling Green.
Ohio is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).
The Ohio vs. Bowling Green Over/Under is 44.5 total points.
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Ohio vs Bowling Green Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 77.4% confidence.
Ohio vs Bowling Green Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio and Bowling Green, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Ohio Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ohio have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ohio has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
Bowling Green Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Bowling Green has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Best Ohio Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kurtis Rourke has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Kurtis Rourke has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Miles Cross has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Sam Wiglusz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Sieh Bangura has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Bowling Green Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Bowling Green players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jaison Patterson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Ohio is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 51.67% ROI
- Ohio is 0-4 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI
- Ohio is 4-0 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
Bowling Green Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Bowling Green is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Bowling Green is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bowling Green is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Bowling Green is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Ohio is 8-1 (.800) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .411
Ohio is 8-2 (.667) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2022 season– tied for 2nd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .363
Ohio was undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .557
Ohio was 9-1 (.818) when scoring 22 or more points in the 2022 season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .533
Bowling Green is winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .458
Bowling Green was 4-1 (.667) when not losing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .408
Bowling Green was winless (0-4) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .452
Bowling Green is 6-13 (.316) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .512
Bowling Green’s RBs has just 0.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for worst among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense has allowed just 1.0 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Bowling Green’s QBs has rushed for 15 yards on 22 carries (just 0.7 YPC) this season — tied for 25th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio’s defense have allowed just 2.6 YPC this season — tied for 17th-best among FBS defenses.