The New Mexico Lobos (1-2) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen (1-3) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Amherst.
Massachusetts is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The New Mexico vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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New Mexico vs Massachusetts Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UMass will win this game with 54.3% confidence.
New Mexico vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts New Mexico will cover the spread with 78.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Massachusetts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Massachusetts Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Massachusetts Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Massachusetts players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taisun Phommachanh has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taisun Phommachanh has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -3.88% ROI
- New Mexico is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- New Mexico is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.49% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -17.5% ROI
- Massachusetts is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Massachusetts is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
New Mexico is 1-18 (.053) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .424
New Mexico is winless (0-13) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .384
New Mexico is 2-17 (.105) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .497
New Mexico is winless (0-12) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .365
UMass is 2-18 (.087) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .516
UMass is 2-22 (.083) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .451
UMass is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .449