The Texas Longhorns (3-0) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (1-2) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Waco.
Texas is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Texas vs. Baylor Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Texas vs Baylor Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 85.8% confidence.
Texas vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas will cover the spread with 51.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Texas has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Texas Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Craig Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 45% ROI)
- Adonai Mitchell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ja’Tavion Sanders has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hal Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.30 Units / 68% ROI)
- Blake Shapen has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Monaray Baldwin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Texas is 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.54% ROI
- Texas is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Texas is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -66.67% ROI).
- Baylor is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -31 Units / -100% ROI
- Baylor is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Baylor is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
#3 Texas is 11-3 (.786) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .484
#3 Texas is 14-7 (.667) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 37th-best in FBS; Average: .559
#3 Texas is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .551
#3 Texas is 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– tied for 27th-best in FBS; Average: .397
Baylor is 7-3 (.700) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 37th-best in FBS; Average: .565