Rutgers vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4
Rutgers vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (3-0) visit Michigan Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (3-0) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Ann Arbor.

Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -24 (-110).

The Rutgers vs. Michigan Over/Under is 44.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs Michigan Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 84.3% confidence.

Rutgers vs Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 4

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 27% ROI)

  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.40 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 49% ROI)

Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Donovan Edwards has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+2.25 Units / 18% ROI)

Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Michigan is 0-3 against the spread this college football season (-3.25 Units / -100% ROI).

  • Michigan is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 1.25% ROI
  • Michigan is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • Michigan is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI

Rutgers is 3-15 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450

Rutgers was winless (0-7) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .446

Rutgers was winless (0-7) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440

Rutgers is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .445

#2 Michigan is 25-3 (.893) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .440

  
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