Week 4 college football best bets
Week 3 of college football was a slate that many grumbled about due to the lack of marquee matchups. Enter Week 4. This weekend’s slate is absolutely loaded, which makes it fun from a betting perspective, but challenging to stay disciplined and not succumb to the urge to bet every single high-profile game. I’ve isolated a few opportunities for this week that present value, based on my T Shoe Index projections.
College Football Betting Splits | CFB Odds | CFB Matchups | Week 4 Hub
Wyoming Cowboys (-2.5) vs Appalachian State Mountaineers, O/U 43
This is a rare opportunity for me to give out a best bet at a better number than I personally bet it early in the week. After seeing the total get bet up to 44 from the opening number of 41.5 at Circa, we saw some buy-back down to 42 and the line currently sits at 43, as of 9:00 am ET Wednesday morning.
TSI projects these teams to combine for 56.5 points in this game, so outside of some wind theoretically impacting the game, I don’t quite understand the total being set so low. The average total points in these teams’ games this season is around 59 points; resulting in Appalachian State being the top Group of Five offense in my ratings. While Wyoming’s offense isn’t necessarily anything to write home about, neither of these teams are in the top 20 in the G5 on the defensive side, so stops will likely be few and far between.