The Dallas Cowboys (2-0) visit State Farm Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals (0-2) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Glendale.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Cardinals Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Cardinals Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 3 game with 77.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Cardinals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Gallup has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the TD Passes Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cardinals players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- James Conner has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kyler Murray has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- James Conner has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Zach Ertz has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 38% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets:
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Cardinals have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 20 games (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys went 2-0 (+2 Units / 86.96% ROI).
- Cowboys are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 33.61% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cardinals went 2-0 (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Cardinals are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Cardinals are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Cardinals are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Arizona Cardinals
The Cowboys were undefeated (6-0) when not throwing an interception in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .618.
The Cowboys are undefeated (4-0) after a home loss since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Cowboys are 8-1 (.889) after a loss since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .461.
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) after a loss in the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .463.
Arizona Cardinals: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Cardinals were winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Cardinals are winless (0-6) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Cardinals were winless (0-6) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .448.
The Cardinals were winless (0-11) when scoring less than 22 points in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.