The New Orleans Saints (2-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay.
The Packers are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).
The Saints vs. Packers Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Packers Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 3 game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Packers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+2.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+1.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 away games (+1.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+2.85 Units / 10% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints went 0-1 (-1 Units / -46.51% ROI).
- Saints are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 62.5% ROI
- Saints are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Saints are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 2-0 (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).
- Packers are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 2.5% ROI
- Packers are 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Packers are 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Saints are 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 143.3 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — fifth-worst in NFL.
The Saints were 2-5 (.286) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Saints were 7-10 (.412) in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Saints were 5-10 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Packers are 2-1 (.667) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .342.
The Packers are winless (0-3) after a home loss since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .458.
The Packers were 1-7 (.125) when scoring less than 22 points in the 2022 season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Packers are 13-1 (.929) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .615.