The New England Patriots (0-2) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (1-1) on Sep. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Patriots are betting favorites in this Week 3 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Patriots vs. Jets Over/Under is 37 total points for the game.
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Patriots vs. Jets Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 3 game with 65.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Patriots and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Patriots Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Patriots players this Week 3 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Carries Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Mac Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 57% ROI)
- DeVante Parker has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored last in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 1Q Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots went 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Patriots are 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Patriots are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Patriots are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 10% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jets are 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Patriots were winless (0-4) when committing 2 or more turnovers in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .296.
The Patriots are 1-13 (.071) when trailing at the end of quarter 1 since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.
The Patriots are winless (0-7) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .127.
The Patriots were 2-4 (.333) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Jets are 2-8 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — seventh-worst in NFL. The Patriots have intercepted 20 passes since the 2022 season — tied for fourth-most in NFL.
The Jets are 1-5 (.167) after a home win since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .515.
The Jets were 1-7 (.125) when allowing 3 or more sacks in the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .373.
The Jets were 3-9 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.