The Washington Nationals (+230) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-300) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+115).
The Nationals vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 65-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-75 ATS.
Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 84.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+17.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+17.85 Units / 83% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Brewers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Brewers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Victor Caratini | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Brandon Woodruff | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 79-70 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.88% ROI).
- 65-84 when betting on the Moneyline for +15 Units / 9.82% ROI
- 71-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 70-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -4.65% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 73-75 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 84-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 5.55% ROI
- 67-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 76-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 1.58% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .827 (726 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .704 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (195-for-663) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .300 (164-for-546) against Patrick Corbin this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — sixth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .845 (595 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .690 — fourth Percentile.