The San Diego Padres (-175) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+145) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland.
The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Padres vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Padres are 71-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 73-75 ATS.
Padres vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Padres vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Padres and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Wacha has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ryan Noda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+8.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Zack Gelof has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+8.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Athletics vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Athletics vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Athletics vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lawrence Butler | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Padres Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 73-76 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -4.8% ROI).
- 71-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.65 Units / -15.96% ROI
- 63-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.05 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 76-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 4.63% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 73-75 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -3.73% ROI).
- 46-102 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.35 Units / -17.71% ROI
- 76-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 1.31% ROI
- 66-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -17 Units / -10.53% ROI
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .343 (24-for-70) against Nick Martinez on low fastballs since last season — 12th highest among among 104 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .271 — 11th Percentile.
Nick Martinez allowed a slugging percentage of .780 (32 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away in 2022 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .349 — first Percentile.
Nick Martinez has located his fastball inside 52% of the time (286/549) this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 35% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% (51/228) against Nick Martinez with runners in scoring position this season — 10th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 12th Percentile.