The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers visit Ohio Stadium to take on the Ohio State Buckeyes on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:00pm EDT in Columbus.
Ohio State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-115).
The Western Kentucky vs. Ohio State Over/Under is 63.5 total points.
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Western Kentucky vs Ohio State Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Western Kentucky vs Ohio State Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Kentucky and Ohio State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Western Kentucky Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Ohio State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Ohio State have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Best Ohio State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Miyan Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Western Kentucky Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Kentucky is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Western Kentucky is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 20.83% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Kentucky is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Ohio State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Ohio State is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -11.95% ROI
- Ohio State is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Ohio State is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Western Kentucky is winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .283
Western Kentucky is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .398
Western Kentucky was 9-3 (.750) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .518
Western Kentucky is 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .559
#3 Ohio State is 13-1 (.867) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .377
#3 Ohio State is undefeated (18-0) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .603
#3 Ohio State is 9-1 (.818) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .423
#3 Ohio State is 11-1 (.917) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .414
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.5% of 69 attempts this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — tied for 35th-worst among FBS defenses.
Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.1% of 477 attempts since the 2022 season — ninth-best among FBS offenses. Western Kentucky’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.1% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for sixth-worst among FBS defenses.