The Western Michigan Broncos visit Kinnick Stadium to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Iowa City.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).
The Western Michigan vs. Iowa Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Western Michigan vs Iowa Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
Western Michigan vs Iowa Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Western Michigan and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Western Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- Western Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 70% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Best Iowa Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Spencer Petras has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- Spencer Petras has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Nico Ragaini has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+2.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kaleb Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Western Michigan is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Western Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Western Michigan is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Western Michigan is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Iowa is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 8.87% ROI
- Iowa is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Iowa is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Western Michigan is 1-9 (.091) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
Western Michigan was winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .452
Western Michigan is winless (0-1) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .454
Western Michigan is 1-6 (.143) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .446
#25 Iowa is undefeated (5-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: .602
#25 Iowa is undefeated (13-0) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .620
#25 Iowa is 9-2 (.818) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: .533
#25 Iowa is 9-4 (.529) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .412
Iowa’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 7.9% of 403 attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 21st-worst among FBS offenses. Western Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.4% of attempts since the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s QBs has thrown for 332 passing yards in 2 games (just 166.0 YPG) this season — 15th-worst among FBS teams. Western Michigan’s defense has allowed 295.0 passing yards per game this season — 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.