The Kansas State Wildcats visit Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field to take on the Missouri Tigers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Columbia.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Kansas State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Kansas State vs Missouri Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 66.5% confidence.
Kansas State vs Missouri Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kansas State and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+7.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Missouri Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Kansas State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Kansas State players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Phillip Brooks has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Best Missouri Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Missouri players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brady Cook has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Brady Cook has hit the Passing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Kansas State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 14.71% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Kansas State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Missouri Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Missouri is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Missouri is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.12% ROI
- Missouri is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Missouri is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
#16 Kansas State is 6-2 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .366
#16 Kansas State is 10-2 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .625
#16 Kansas State was 4-2 (.667) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game in the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .396
#16 Kansas State is 8-1 (.667) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .425
Missouri is winless (0-3) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Missouri is 3-13 (.188) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437
Missouri is 4-12 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513
Missouri is 2-11 (.154) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398
Missouri’s TEs has 13 receptions in 14 games (just 0.9 per game) since the 2022 season — second-worst among P5 TEs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 3.8 receptions per game to TEs since the 2022 season — tied for 17th-worst among FBS defenses.
Missouri’s WRs has gained 312 yards on 25 receptions (just 12.5 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among SEC WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 20th-best among FBS defenses.