The Utah State Aggies visit Falcon Stadium to take on the Air Force Falcons on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in U.S. Air Force Academy.
Air Force is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Utah State vs. Air Force Over/Under is 46.5 total points.
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Utah State vs Air Force Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Air Force will win this game with 77.5% confidence.
Utah State vs Air Force Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 73.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Utah State and Air Force, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Utah State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Utah State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- Utah State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Air Force Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Air Force have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.04 Units / 54% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Utah State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Utah State is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Utah State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Utah State is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Utah State is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Air Force Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Air Force is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Air Force is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 17.54% ROI
- Air Force is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Air Force is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Utah State is 15-4 (.750) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .533
Utah State is 11-2 (.846) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .569
Utah State is 12-4 (.706) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 15th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Utah State is 5-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .586
Air Force is winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .457
Air Force is undefeated (7-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .569
Air Force was winless (0-2) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459
Air Force is 11-6 (.647) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .382
Air Force has gained 109 yards on 3 receptions (36.3 YPR) this season — best among FBS skill players. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Air Force’s TEs has 6 receptions in 12 games (just 0.5 per game) since the 2022 season — fifth-worst among FBS TEs. Utah State’s defense has allowed just 17.1 receptions per game since the 2022 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS defenses.