The Virginia Cavaliers visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in College Park.
Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).
The Virginia vs. Maryland Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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Virginia vs Maryland Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 85.7% confidence.
Virginia vs Maryland Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 77.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Virginia and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Virginia Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+0.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+8.35 Units / 121% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Virginia Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Virginia is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Virginia is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Virginia is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Virginia is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- Maryland is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 3.95% ROI
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Maryland is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379
Virginia is winless (0-7) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .410
Virginia is 1-7 (.111) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .440
Virginia is winless (0-4) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495
Maryland was undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks in the 2022 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .545
Maryland is 8-1 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season– tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .559
Maryland is 1-7 (.111) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 6th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .379
Maryland is undefeated (6-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .531
Maryland’s WRs has gained 344 yards on 31 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Virginia’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 31st-best among FBS defenses.
Maryland’s TEs has 14 receptions in 2 games (7.0 per game) this season — second-best among P5 TEs. Virginia’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — tied for third-worst among ACC defenses.