Guardians vs. Pirates Odds
Wednesday, July 1912:35 p.m. ETMLB.TV
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -130 | 9-110 / -110 | -1.5+130 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| +110 | 9-110 / -110 | +1.5-150 |
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Aaron Civale, upon returning from his injury, has been pretty impressive for the Cleveland Guardians. He and the Guardians will face Rich Hill and the Pittsburgh Pirates, a team that has struggled lately in the hitting department. Hill hasn't been that impressive, but neither has Cleveland's offense.
Both teams have struggled to generate offense and although neither starter is elite, this game should still go under the total.
Civale carries a 2.65 ERA against a 3.79 xERA, so even though there is some expected regression, he's still posting solid numbers. His Average Exit Velocity ranks in the 39th percentile and his Hard-Hit Rate ranks in the 76th percentile. He also owns a sub-20% strikeout rate and a sub-7% walk rate, so he pitches to contact. But with the way Pittsburgh has been hitting the ball, Civale should have a decent start.
The Guardians have four hitters – David Fry, Josh Bell, Amed Rosario and Josh Naylor – with a xwOBA over .320 off of lefty pitching this season. Otherwise, this lineup is pretty weak with a 97 wRC+ off of southpaws this month. Cleveland only strikes out 17.9% of the time, but the bottom of the order doesn't do much damage.